HPP: It is anticipated that a second storm will approach near the Eastern United States sometime between Friday and Saturday (January 10 and 11).
There is a general trend toward an increase in the likelihood of a storm, but the types of precipitation, totals, and timing of the precipitation will be determined in the days ahead.
The energy that is linked with this storm is now located over the Eastern Pacific Ocean, which is a region that weather balloons do not typically sample with their instruments. It is possible to obtain a more accurate sample once it hits the ground in the western United States. Because of this, the forecast data will be more accurate by the middle of the week.
An examination of the pattern
There will be a significant drop in temperature in the days running up to Friday and Saturday. It is in the teens and 20s when mornings begin, and it is in the 30s and 40s when afternoons reach their peak.
During this same time period, a storm system will be forming in the southern states of the United States and will be traveling toward the eastern states.
In the event that the storm were to move closer to the Appalachian Mountains, the wind would blow from the southwest direction. Rainfall would be more likely to occur as a result of this than snowfall.
In the event that the storm stays closer to the East Coast, we would be in a better position to receive snow or a combination of snow and rain.
North Carolina’s likelihood of experiencing snowfall
If you are someone who like snow, you are salivating at the prospect of even a glimmer of hope for the snow to fall. At RDU, it has been 1,073 days since we have experienced snowfall that is measurable (0.1 inches or more).
When making long-term forecasts, it is recommended to make use of something that is known as an ensemble.
For illustration purposes, let’s look at the European model. Within its ensemble, there are fifty distinct versions.
Imagine it as a band of some kind. Everyone in the group is a musician, but one group plays horns, another group plays woodwinds, another group plays percussion, and so on.
You are able to determine the likelihood of anything occurring when you take a look at these particular ensembles.
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That there will be at least three inches of snow falls. There is a continuing decrease in the likelihood of there being at least six inches of snowfall.
At this time, there is no requirement to cancel plans, search the aisles of bread and milk, or any other similar actions.
It will be a few days before we are able to provide you with specific information regarding the type of precipitation that you will experience and the amount that you will receive.
We are aware that the likelihood of wintry precipitation is higher than typical.